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Re: hypothetical stuff

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Thanks, ,

Something always overlooked and a REAL barrier to living is running out of money before 120 yo. If we think we're going to get to even 100 yo we better have some real monetary policy that gets us there. It is already thought that the economic drag is felt even with 65 yo who live maybe 12 yrs.

People will have to work until 150 to live to 180. Working at that age may shorten their life.

Regards.

----- Original Message -----

From: Dowling

Sent: Tuesday, August 03, 2004 12:30 PM

Subject: RE: [ ] Re: Supplements usage

Aubrey De Grey is estimating less than 50 years:3) My expectation is that our risk-aversion will rise sharply if we perceive our lifespan as indefinite, so that this 1000-year life expectancy will be extended by a modest factor; a factor of five is my conservative guess. This of course relies on our risk-aversion being ubiquitous -- applying to the willingness to go to war, the effort to subvert new infectious diseases, etc, as well as our attitude to mere accidents -- but I see no reason why that should not be the case. "

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