Guest guest Posted December 22, 2007 Report Share Posted December 22, 2007 that was an old poll from 2005, when the panflu concern was high. We had forgotten to close it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest guest Posted December 22, 2007 Report Share Posted December 22, 2007 Poll was not open long. I never saw it until it was already closed. > > > The following Flu poll is now closed. Here are the > final results: > > > POLL QUESTION: What, do you estimate is the probability of an avian flu pandemic this season (until 21 June 2006)? Pandemic = 1000 deaths in each of 3 different continents. > > CHOICES AND RESULTS > - less than 1%, 12 votes, 40.00% > - 1% - 3%, 3 votes, 10.00% > - 3% - 10%, 8 votes, 26.67% > - 10% - 20%, 1 votes, 3.33% > - 20% - 40%, 3 votes, 10.00% > - more than 40%, 3 votes, 10.00% > > > > For more information about this group, please visit > Flu > > For help with , please visit > http://help./l/us//groups/original/members/web/index.html > Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest guest Posted January 5, 2008 Report Share Posted January 5, 2008 The following Flu poll is now closed. Here are the final results: POLL QUESTION: ...and now for 2008 ! your probability estimate for a flu-pandemic starting in 2008 ! : 2008 panflu probability poll this is my regular yearly poll asking for individual subjective panflu probability estimates. (rather than PPFs or such) what is your subjective estimate of the probability that there will be an influenza pandemic starting in 2008 ? i.e. that historians will later refer to a 2008(-...) pandemic, as they count 3 pandemics for the last century starting in 1918,1957,1968. (please vote only in one forum) CHOICES AND RESULTS - 0-10%, 0 votes, 0.00% - 10-20%, 1 votes, 50.00% - 20-30%, 0 votes, 0.00% - 30-40%, 1 votes, 50.00% - 40-50%, 0 votes, 0.00% - 50-60%, 0 votes, 0.00% - 60-70%, 0 votes, 0.00% - 70-80%, 0 votes, 0.00% - 80-90%, 0 votes, 0.00% - 90-100%, 0 votes, 0.00% For more information about this group, please visit Flu For help with , please visit http://help./l/us//groups/original/members/web/index.html Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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