Trying to analyze measles data

August 7, 2008

April of 2000 I looked at measles on the internet and even more confusing

stuff...

I'm trying to analyze data that WHO puts out...

here is some on Measles in a town in Peru

*****

During the outbreak, 150 of the 553 Espindola residents developed clinical

cases of measles. Adults accounted for 44.0% of

cases, and were frequently identified as primary cases. The attack rate

among all susceptible people was 45.5% and was

highest (61.2%) for the 1620 year age group. Among adults, significant

risk factors for developing measles included being

aged 1620 years (relative risk [RR]=3.06, 95% CI = 2.08, 4.49) and being

male (RR= 1.73, 95% CI = 1.11, 2.71). Among

serologically confirmed cases, 60.7% developed diarrhoea and 32.1%

pneumonia. The overall case-fatality rate was 3.3%, but

reached 19.1% in the 023-month age group. Failure to reach children

through either routine immunization or national

campaigns made this community vulnerable to the severe and extensive impact

of measles virus importation.

****

Now 150 residents got measles

44% adults = 66 people by my calculation

Overall case fatality 3.3% = 4.95 people by my calculation

Then they say 19.1% case fatality in 0-23 month age group

They never told then number of cases in that group

Non adults must have been 84 - but how many of those were 0-24 months

Approximately 5 people died in total - they leave out essential information

It had to be under 5 for sure

This is why I don't believe their information as it is never filled with

facts that you can work with

--------------------------------------------------------

Sheri Nakken, former R.N., MA, Hahnemannian Homeopath

Vaccination Information & Choice Network, Nevada City CA & Wales UK

Vaccine Dangers & Homeopathy Online/email courses - next classes Sept 08

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