Guest guest Posted June 17, 2008 Report Share Posted June 17, 2008 I wonder how their mathematical formulas will calculate fatigue (during the shift by running all over the place), burnout (by continued running all over the place) and replacement of staff due to fatigue and burnout as well as the potential liability caused by human errors due to fatigue and burnout. This might work if we were running 8-hour shifts, but 24s? Sounds like a recipe for potential disaster. Barry Sharp, MSHP, CHES Program Coordinator Tobacco Prevention & Control Texas Dept. of State Health Services Barry.Sharp@... ________________________________ From: texasems-l [mailto:texasems-l ] On Behalf Of Sent: Tuesday, June 17, 2008 4:36 PM To: texasems-l Subject: UMMM hasn't this been done? ScienceDaily (Jun. 17, 2008) - Every extra second it takes an ambulance to get to its destination can mean life or death. But how, besides driving faster, can ambulances get emergency services to people in need as efficiently as possible, every day? It's a classic operations research question that three Cornell researchers are tackling in groundbreaking ways. A National Science Foundation grant of almost $300,000 is allowing associate professor of operations research Shane , assistant professor of operations research Huseyin Topaloglu and applied mathematics Ph.D. student Mateo Restrepo to work on this problem. They are seeking to perfect a computer program that estimates how best to spread ambulances across a municipality to get maximum coverage at all times. The researchers are working on a computerized approach to take such available information as historical trends of types and incidences of calls, geographical layout and real-time locations of ambulances to figure out where ambulance bases should be, and where ambulances should be sent once finished with a call. The whole process is not unlike the puzzle game Tetris, Restrepo said. The easy part is knowing what an ideal system should look like. The hard part is anticipating various outcomes in a limited period of time, like the falling blocks in the video game. Using their program, the researchers are recommending that ambulance organizations break the traditional setup of assigning ambulance crews to various bases and sending them back to their assigned locations once finished with a call. Going back to base isn't necessarily the best option for maximum efficiency, say the operations researchers. It might be better to redeploy an idle ambulance to where coverage is lacking, even though no calls have yet been placed there. " If everyone is constantly going back to the base assigned, they're ignoring what's going on in real time in the system, " explained. The concept is easy enough, but the solution is tricky, especially because of the enormous amount of uncertainty involved. The field of operations research that deals with making decisions over time in the face of uncertainty is called dynamic programming, in which Topaloglu is an expert. The key is coming up with what's called a value function, a mathematical construction that estimates the impact of a current decision on the future evolution of the system. In this case, it's the impact of current ambulance locations on the number of future calls that are served on time. " When you're trying to make a decision, you have to select the locations of your ambulances so the performance predicted by the value function is as good as possible, " Topaloglu explained. " But it turns out that computing that function is very difficult, especially if you're talking about the scale of the problem we're trying to solve. " has more than 10 years of experience working on such problems, using a technique called simulation optimization, which is modeling different scenarios of what could happen in any given industrial system. He and a colleague have already commercialized an earlier generation of emergency medical system planning, which now forms the basis for the technology used by the New Zealand ambulance company Optima. The comments contained in this correspondence are the sole responsibility of the author. They do not necessarily reflect the thoughts, feelings, or opinions of my employer, or any other group or organization that I may be, am perceived to be, have been or will be involved with in the future. They are my own comments, submitted freely and they are worth exactly what you paid for them. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest guest Posted June 17, 2008 Report Share Posted June 17, 2008 All systems use something, based in science or not, about how and where to place ambulances.? The dreaded " SSM " title which is usually used to refer to a flexible deployment model can always stand to be studied and researched more to show its viability and to answer questions like Barry brings up.? To answer one of Barry's questions...if an agency is using a totally flexible deployment model and having their staff work on 24 hour shifts then they are doomed to failure....just as bad as any agency that has units running 18+ calls in 24 hours and continues to work them in a 24 hour format.? Get a copy of the A/TC EMS study...and how they responded.? We shouldn't try and combine the two separate issues...there are plenty of 24 hour; " station based " agencies that are creating the same disaster because they knowingly expect their crews to work for 24 hours without any sleep... Now, back to the " SSM " discussion...in the system I was in that did this very well, and worked hard to balance employee needs with the needs of our customers, we worked 11 hour shifts with the first 15 minutes and last 45 minutes dedicated to getting in and out of service...so it worked out to a 10 hour shift...and never having your sleep interrupted to go on a call, working hard on a busy day knowing in less than 10 hours you would be on your way home, and working a schedule I could bid upon that met my needs (I worked 1800 to 0500; W-Sat...) was cake...3 days off a week...home every night (or day...for us vampires) was really nice.? I for one look forward to the results of this.? These are also the type of folks who could look into the question we all have about 911 calls....why it is quiet for hours then all of a sudden a whole host of calls come pouring in for " no reason " ....I wish I was educated in " chaos theory " .? Dudley UMMM hasn't this been done? ScienceDaily (Jun. 17, 2008) - Every extra second it takes an ambulance to get to its destination can mean life or death. But how, besides driving faster, can ambulances get emergency services to people in need as efficiently as possible, every day? It's a classic operations research question that three Cornell researchers are tackling in groundbreaking ways. A National Science Foundation grant of almost $300,000 is allowing associate professor of operations research Shane , assistant professor of operations research Huseyin Topaloglu and applied mathematics Ph.D. student Mateo Restrepo to work on this problem. They are seeking to perfect a computer program that estimates how best to spread ambulances across a municipality to get maximum coverage at all times. The researchers are working on a computerized approach to take such available information as historical trends of types and incidences of calls, geographical layout and real-time locations of ambulances to figure out where ambulance bases should be, and where ambulances should be sent once finished with a call. The whole process is not unlike the puzzle game Tetris, Restrepo said. The easy part is knowing what an ideal system should look like. The hard part is anticipating various outcomes in a limited period of time, like the falling blocks in the video game. Using their program, the researchers are recommending that ambulance organizations break the traditional setup of assigning ambulance crews to various bases and sending them back to their assigned locations once finished with a call. Going back to base isn't necessarily the best option for maximum efficiency, say the operations researchers. It might be better to redeploy an idle ambulance to where coverage is lacking, even though no calls have yet been placed there. " If everyone is constantly going back to the base assigned, they're ignoring what's going on in real time in the system, " explained. The concept is easy enough, but the solution is tricky, especially because of the enormous amount of uncertainty involved. The field of operations research that deals with making decisions over time in the face of uncertainty is called dynamic programming, in which Topaloglu is an expert. The key is coming up with what's called a value function, a mathematical construction that estimates the impact of a current decision on the future evolution of the system. In this case, it's the impact of current ambulance locations on the number of future calls that are served on time. " When you're trying to make a decision, you have to select the locations of your ambulances so the performance predicted by the value function is as good as possible, " Topaloglu explained. " But it turns out that computing that function is very difficult, especially if you're talking about the scale of the problem we're trying to solve. " has more than 10 years of experience working on such problems, using a technique called simulation optimization, which is modeling different scenarios of what could happen in any given industrial system. He and a colleague have already commercialized an earlier generation of emergency medical system planning, which now forms the basis for the technology used by the New Zealand ambulance company Optima. The comments contained in this correspondence are the sole responsibility of the author. They do not necessarily reflect the thoughts, feelings, or opinions of my employer, or any other group or organization that I may be, am perceived to be, have been or will be involved with in the future. They are my own comments, submitted freely and they are worth exactly what you paid for them. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest guest Posted June 17, 2008 Report Share Posted June 17, 2008 Does anybody remember " System Status Management " that was used in Tulsa and Kansas City in the early to mid 1980s? & nbsp; I wish that I could get a grant to " study " and " develop " something old and sell it as a new concept. & nbsp; If I did that, I would be prosecuted for fraud. & nbsp;Todd Amarillo, Texas From: & lt;spiband@... & gt; Subject: UMMM hasn't this been done? To: texasems-l Date: Tuesday, June 17, 2008, 4:36 PM ScienceDaily (Jun. 17, 2008) — Every extra second it takes an ambulance to get to its destination can mean life or death. But how, besides driving faster, can ambulances get emergency services to people in need as efficiently as possible, every day? It's a classic operations research question that three Cornell researchers are tackling in groundbreaking ways. A National Science Foundation grant of almost $300,000 is allowing associate professor of operations research Shane , assistant professor of operations research Huseyin Topaloglu and applied mathematics Ph.D. student Mateo Restrepo to work on this problem. They are seeking to perfect a computer program that estimates how best to spread ambulances across a municipality to get maximum coverage at all times. The researchers are working on a computerized approach to take such available information as historical trends of types and incidences of calls, geographical layout and real-time locations of ambulances to figure out where ambulance bases should be, and where ambulances should be sent once finished with a call. The whole process is not unlike the puzzle game Tetris, Restrepo said. The easy part is knowing what an ideal system should look like. The hard part is anticipating various outcomes in a limited period of time, like the falling blocks in the video game. Using their program, the researchers are recommending that ambulance organizations break the traditional setup of assigning ambulance crews to various bases and sending them back to their assigned locations once finished with a call. Going back to base isn't necessarily the best option for maximum efficiency, say the operations researchers. It might be better to redeploy an idle ambulance to where coverage is lacking, even though no calls have yet been placed there. " If everyone is constantly going back to the base assigned, they're ignoring what's going on in real time in the system, " explained. The concept is easy enough, but the solution is tricky, especially because of the enormous amount of uncertainty involved. The field of operations research that deals with making decisions over time in the face of uncertainty is called dynamic programming, in which Topaloglu is an expert. The key is coming up with what's called a value function, a mathematical construction that estimates the impact of a current decision on the future evolution of the system. In this case, it's the impact of current ambulance locations on the number of future calls that are served on time. " When you're trying to make a decision, you have to select the locations of your ambulances so the performance predicted by the value function is as good as possible, " Topaloglu explained. " But it turns out that computing that function is very difficult, especially if you're talking about the scale of the problem we're trying to solve. " has more than 10 years of experience working on such problems, using a technique called simulation optimization, which is modeling different scenarios of what could happen in any given industrial system. He and a colleague have already commercialized an earlier generation of emergency medical system planning, which now forms the basis for the technology used by the New Zealand ambulance company Optima. The comments contained in this correspondence are the sole responsibility of the author. They do not necessarily reflect the thoughts, feelings, or opinions of my employer, or any other group or organization that I may be, am perceived to be, have been or will be involved with in the future. They are my own comments, submitted freely and they are worth exactly what you paid for them. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest guest Posted June 17, 2008 Report Share Posted June 17, 2008 , Hey you are from my neck of the woods!! Spearman to be exact. Well any ways, we had system status and it is really a poor way to guess where calls or the volume may come from. I was part of that management team. The best bet is to use the tier system which occasionally fails as well. Stan Brandt CCEMT-P,CISM,FPC Director of EMS This document may contain information covered under the Privacy Act, 5 USC 552(a), and/or the Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act (PL 104-191) and its various implementing regulations and must be protected in accordance with those provisions. Healthcare information is personal and sensitive and must be treated accordingly. If this correspondence contains healthcare information it is being provided to you after appropriate authorization from the patient or under circumstances that don’t require patient authorization. You, the recipient, are obligated to maintain it in a safe, secure and confidential manner. Redisclosure without additional patient consent or as permitted by law is prohibited. Unauthorized redisclosure or failure to maintain confidentiality subjects you to application of appropriate sanction. If you have received this correspondence in error, please notify the sender at once and destroy any copies you have made. UMMM hasn't this been done? To: texasems-l Date: Tuesday, June 17, 2008, 4:36 PM ScienceDaily (Jun. 17, 2008) — Every extra second it takes an ambulance to get to its destination can mean life or death. But how, besides driving faster, can ambulances get emergency services to people in need as efficiently as possible, every day? It's a classic operations research question that three Cornell researchers are tackling in groundbreaking ways. A National Science Foundation grant of almost $300,000 is allowing associate professor of operations research Shane , assistant professor of operations research Huseyin Topaloglu and applied mathematics Ph.D. student Mateo Restrepo to work on this problem. They are seeking to perfect a computer program that estimates how best to spread ambulances across a municipality to get maximum coverage at all times. The researchers are working on a computerized approach to take such available information as historical trends of types and incidences of calls, geographical layout and real-time locations of ambulances to figure out where ambulance bases should be, and where ambulances should be sent once finished with a call. The whole process is not unlike the puzzle game Tetris, Restrepo said. The easy part is knowing what an ideal system should look like. The hard part is anticipating various outcomes in a limited period of time, like the falling blocks in the video game. Using their program, the researchers are recommending that ambulance organizations break the traditional setup of assigning ambulance crews to various bases and sending them back to their assigned locations once finished with a call. Going back to base isn't necessarily the best option for maximum efficiency, say the operations researchers. It might be better to redeploy an idle ambulance to where coverage is lacking, even though no calls have yet been placed there. " If everyone is constantly going back to the base assigned, they're ignoring what's going on in real time in the system, " explained. The concept is easy enough, but the solution is tricky, especially because of the enormous amount of uncertainty involved. The field of operations research that deals with making decisions over time in the face of uncertainty is called dynamic programming, in which Topaloglu is an expert. The key is coming up with what's called a value function, a mathematical construction that estimates the impact of a current decision on the future evolution of the system. In this case, it's the impact of current ambulance locations on the number of future calls that are served on time. " When you're trying to make a decision, you have to select the locations of your ambulances so the performance predicted by the value function is as good as possible, " Topaloglu explained. " But it turns out that computing that function is very difficult, especially if you're talking about the scale of the problem we're trying to solve. " has more than 10 years of experience working on such problems, using a technique called simulation optimization, which is modeling different scenarios of what could happen in any given industrial system. He and a colleague have already commercialized an earlier generation of emergency medical system planning, which now forms the basis for the technology used by the New Zealand ambulance company Optima. The comments contained in this correspondence are the sole responsibility of the author. They do not necessarily reflect the thoughts, feelings, or opinions of my employer, or any other group or organization that I may be, am perceived to be, have been or will be involved with in the future. They are my own comments, submitted freely and they are worth exactly what you paid for them. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest guest Posted June 17, 2008 Report Share Posted June 17, 2008 Ugh computers will solve all our problems and by 2000 we will live in a paperless society. Explains why I buy paper by the pallet load at my office! LNM from Baku, AZ - UMMM hasn't this been done? ScienceDaily (Jun. 17, 2008) — Every extra second it takes an ambulance to get to its destination can mean life or death. But how, besides driving faster, can ambulances get emergency services to people in need as efficiently as possible, every day? It's a classic operations research question that three Cornell researchers are tackling in groundbreaking ways. A National Science Foundation grant of almost $300,000 is allowing associate professor of operations research Shane , assistant professor of operations research Huseyin Topaloglu and applied mathematics Ph.D. student Mateo Restrepo to work on this problem. They are seeking to perfect a computer program that estimates how best to spread ambulances across a municipality to get maximum coverage at all times. The researchers are working on a computerized approach to take such available information as historical trends of types and incidences of calls, geographical layout and real-time locations of ambulances to figure out where ambulance bases should be, and where ambulances should be sent once finished with a call. The whole process is not unlike the puzzle game Tetris, Restrepo said. The easy part is knowing what an ideal system should look like. The hard part is anticipating various outcomes in a limited period of time, like the falling blocks in the video game. Using their program, the researchers are recommending that ambulance organizations break the traditional setup of assigning ambulance crews to various bases and sending them back to their assigned locations once finished with a call. Going back to base isn't necessarily the best option for maximum efficiency, say the operations researchers. It might be better to redeploy an idle ambulance to where coverage is lacking, even though no calls have yet been placed there. " If everyone is constantly going back to the base assigned, they're ignoring what's going on in real time in the system, " explained. The concept is easy enough, but the solution is tricky, especially because of the enormous amount of uncertainty involved. The field of operations research that deals with making decisions over time in the face of uncertainty is called dynamic programming, in which Topaloglu is an expert. The key is coming up with what's called a value function, a mathematical construction that estimates the impact of a current decision on the future evolution of the system. In this case, it's the impact of current ambulance locations on the number of future calls that are served on time. " When you're trying to make a decision, you have to select the locations of your ambulances so the performance predicted by the value function is as good as possible, " Topaloglu explained. " But it turns out that computing that function is very difficult, especially if you're talking about the scale of the problem we're trying to solve. " has more than 10 years of experience working on such problems, using a technique called simulation optimization, which is modeling different scenarios of what could happen in any given industrial system. He and a colleague have already commercialized an earlier generation of emergency medical system planning, which now forms the basis for the technology used by the New Zealand ambulance company Optima. The comments contained in this correspondence are the sole responsibility of the author. They do not necessarily reflect the thoughts, feelings, or opinions of my employer, or any other group or organization that I may be, am perceived to be, have been or will be involved with in the future. They are my own comments, submitted freely and they are worth exactly what you paid for them. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest guest Posted June 18, 2008 Report Share Posted June 18, 2008 , That was exactly my thoughts when I read this. I didn't post it to get the whole SSM fight going again because that has been done to death. Dave Todd wrote: Does anybody remember " System Status Management " that was used in Tulsa and Kansas City in the early to mid 1980s? I wish that I could get a grant to " study " and " develop " something old and sell it as a new concept. If I did that, I would be prosecuted for fraud. Todd Amarillo, Texas Subject: UMMM hasn't this been done? To: texasems-l Date: Tuesday, June 17, 2008, 4:36 PM ScienceDaily (Jun. 17, 2008) — Every extra second it takes an ambulance to get to its destination can mean life or death. But how, besides driving faster, can ambulances get emergency services to people in need as efficiently as possible, every day? It's a classic operations research question that three Cornell researchers are tackling in groundbreaking ways. A National Science Foundation grant of almost $300,000 is allowing associate professor of operations research Shane , assistant professor of operations research Huseyin Topaloglu and applied mathematics Ph.D. student Mateo Restrepo to work on this problem. They are seeking to perfect a computer program that estimates how best to spread ambulances across a municipality to get maximum coverage at all times. The researchers are working on a computerized approach to take such available information as historical trends of types and incidences of calls, geographical layout and real-time locations of ambulances to figure out where ambulance bases should be, and where ambulances should be sent once finished with a call. The whole process is not unlike the puzzle game Tetris, Restrepo said. The easy part is knowing what an ideal system should look like. The hard part is anticipating various outcomes in a limited period of time, like the falling blocks in the video game. Using their program, the researchers are recommending that ambulance organizations break the traditional setup of assigning ambulance crews to various bases and sending them back to their assigned locations once finished with a call. Going back to base isn't necessarily the best option for maximum efficiency, say the operations researchers. It might be better to redeploy an idle ambulance to where coverage is lacking, even though no calls have yet been placed there. " If everyone is constantly going back to the base assigned, they're ignoring what's going on in real time in the system, " explained. The concept is easy enough, but the solution is tricky, especially because of the enormous amount of uncertainty involved. The field of operations research that deals with making decisions over time in the face of uncertainty is called dynamic programming, in which Topaloglu is an expert. The key is coming up with what's called a value function, a mathematical construction that estimates the impact of a current decision on the future evolution of the system. In this case, it's the impact of current ambulance locations on the number of future calls that are served on time. " When you're trying to make a decision, you have to select the locations of your ambulances so the performance predicted by the value function is as good as possible, " Topaloglu explained. " But it turns out that computing that function is very difficult, especially if you're talking about the scale of the problem we're trying to solve. " has more than 10 years of experience working on such problems, using a technique called simulation optimization, which is modeling different scenarios of what could happen in any given industrial system. He and a colleague have already commercialized an earlier generation of emergency medical system planning, which now forms the basis for the technology used by the New Zealand ambulance company Optima. The comments contained in this correspondence are the sole responsibility of the author. They do not necessarily reflect the thoughts, feelings, or opinions of my employer, or any other group or organization that I may be, am perceived to be, have been or will be involved with in the future. They are my own comments, submitted freely and they are worth exactly what you paid for them. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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